…a “high” migration scenario projects [a] record flow of refugees into Europe between 2014 and 2016. (…) In this scenario, Muslims could make up 14% of Europe’s population by 2050 – nearly triple the current share, but still considerably smaller than the populations of both Christians and people with no religion in Europe.
The refugee flows of the last few years, (…) are extremely high compared with the historical average in recent decades, and already have begun to decline as the European Union and many of its member states have made policy changes aimed at limiting refugee flow.
Predicting future migration levels is impossible. (…) if regular migration continues at recent levels, and some asylum seekers also continue to arrive and receive refugee status – but not as many as during the historically exceptional surge of refugees from 2014 to 2016 – then the share of Muslims in Europe’s population as of 2050 would be expected to be somewhere between 11.2% and 14%.
While Europe’s Muslim population is expected to grow in all three scenarios (…) Europe’s non-Muslims, on the other hand, are projected to decline in total.
Between mid-2010 and mid-2016, the number of Muslims in Europe grew considerably through natural increase alone:
Three scenarios illustrate what the Muslim population could look like in Europe in 2050 (Methodology). Résumé en langue française ici, texte intégral en anglais là.
Il conduit (en toute légalité) 500 km pour obtenir un document lui permettant d’avoir son permis (après avoir d’abord été s’inscrire dans un auto-école dans un département voisin pour tenter d’éviter ce tracas)!
352 heures, 22 voyages, 232 000 images et 1500 dollars (de frais de parking).
Pixelsites, via Google
It’s hard to find bad food
Don’t leave a mess at the bins and don’t take more than what you can realistically eat /use.
… food that’s bad for your health (a.k.a. the cheap stuff) — it is rarely in the bins. Processed foods like sodas or snacks? Scarcely, if ever. Fruits and vegetables? Almost always.
Larissa Milo-Dale (@larashka): What I learned from a year of dumpster diving in Australia
The media glorifies entrepreneurs as dynamic people. The sobering reality is that the majority of them are just regular Joes with access to wealth.
A post by Nimmala titled Entrepreneurs Aren’t A Special Breed – They’re Mostly Rich Kids (via Kottke).
See also 7 Survival Tips For First-Time Entrepreneurs & You Can Be Born Poor And Still Make It In Life.
From The New York Times : If You Liked This, Sure to Love That – Winning the Netflix Prize
…shopping over the Web is not a social experience; there are no clever clerks to ask for advice. What’s more, because they have no real space constraints, online stores like Amazon or iTunes can stock millions of titles, making a stack search essentially impossible. This creates the classic problem of choice: how do you decide among an effectively infinite number of options?
…even though Netflix has a good deal of demographic information about its users, the company does not currently use it much to generate movie recommendations; merely knowing who people are, paradoxically, isn’t very predictive of their movie tastes.
The key feature here is the date: 2008. The Netflix contest folded in 2009.
(via Kottke, again)
Well actually not trains but traffic lights staying red too long, which translates into an Interstate Highway been close to let a train pass. This is the beauty: monitoring effects to identify facts.
Goshen Has A Train Problem And It’s Worse Than You Probably Thought (via)